参考解答
正确答案:德尔菲法,也称专家意见法,是由美国著名的兰德公司在20世纪40年代首创并用于预测和决策的方法。其具体做法是:由预测部门根据预测目标的性质,采用函询调查的方式,向有关专家征询意见,然后将专家意见归纳整理,用匿名的形式反馈给各位专家,再次征求专家意见。如此经过多次反复征询和筛选,专家意见渐趋一致,最后供决策者进行决策。
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